http://www.electoral-vote.com/ The chart is handy. At this point, I tend to think there isn't going to be a shift of more than five points from the polls, which suggests... all of the Kerry states are safely in Obama's hands, -- even McCain's hoped for Pennsylvania --, 4 Bush states are about in Obama's bag, and Obama goes another 10 deep in terms of Bush states he might win. Obama's gonna win North Dakota. You heard it here first.